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growth_calculation_projection

Growth Calculation & Projection

Use the following method to determine the growth percent using basal area. This method can also be used to project basal area, diameters, and volume.

Procedure: Use a prism, bark gauge and a diameter tape to obtain growth information from a representative sample of trees (preferably all the trees within prism range at pre-selected points; for examle, every fifth point).

  The following information is obtained from each tree:
  
  a. Radial bark thickness
  b. Diameter at breast height (D.B.H. outside bark)
  c. Radial growth during the last 5 years (have the data or estimate it)
  

D.I.B. (D. Without bark) = D.O.B (D. With bark) - 2 X radial bark thickness.

d.i.b. = D.I.B. - 2 X radial growth during last 5 years

The term: Σ(d.i.b./D.I.B.)2 is the ratio of basal area 5 years ago to the present basal area.

Example:

Tree No. D.O.B D.I.B d.i.b. d.i.b./D.I.B. (d.i.b./D.I.B.)2
1 8.4 7.6 5.8 .763 .582
2 6.7 6.0 4.0 .667 .445
3 10.2 9.3 7.8 .839 .704
4 12.0 11.0 9.6 .873 .762
5 9.6 8.7 6.8 .782 .612
Total3.105

% growth = 1 - (Σ(d.i.b./D.I.B.)2 /total trees in sample)
% = 1 - (3.105/5) = 1-.621 = .379
% = .379 or 37.9% (for 5 years)
% annual growth = 37.9/5years = 7.58%

Present Projected to next 5 Years
(Basal Area) (Basal Area Increase)
(Volume) X 37.9% = (Volume Increase)
(Average Diameter) (Average Diameter Increase)

Example: Estimated volume at end of 5 years:

Present volume/acre           = 1450 board feet
% growth in 5 years           = 37.9%
Increase in volume in 5 years = 550 board feet
Present volume/acre           +1450 board feet
Volume/acre at end of 5 years =2000 board feet
growth_calculation_projection.txt · Last modified: 2013/11/04 14:21 by ddrummond